Back to UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
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Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmouz

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 ·Prudential Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Quillan Salkilld
Yanal Ashmouz
75% 25%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 6"
69"
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
13-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
9-2
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Salkilld: 79 sig / 8 TD · Ashmouz: 41 sig / 0 TD
Quillan Salkilld
Yanal Ashmouz
27
Sig strikes landed
13
52
Sig strikes attempted
26
33
Total strikes landed
23
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
274s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Quillan Salkilld

13-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
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Blue corner
W1

Yanal Ashmouz

"Red Fox"
9-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
—
L UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
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W UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
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