Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Zach Reese
Dusko Todorovic
56%
44%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
10-4
Career record
Δ 6 pp
13-7
L1
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Reese: 50 sig / 2 TD ·
Todorovic: 35 sig / 4 TD
Zach Reese
Dusko Todorovic
29
Sig strikes landed
22
54
Sig strikes attempted
37
45
Total strikes landed
39
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
88s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Zach Reese
"Savage"
10-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
Blue corner
L2
Dusko Todorovic
"Thunder"
13-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
L
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—