Back to UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo ·Wells Fargo Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Gaston Bolanos
Quang Le
54% 46%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
9-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
9-4
W1
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Bolanos: 5 sig / 0 TD · Le: 10 sig / 4 TD
Gaston Bolanos
Quang Le
49
Sig strikes landed
38
101
Sig strikes attempted
101
60
Total strikes landed
60
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
113s
Control time
195s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Gaston Bolanos

"The Dreamkiller"
9-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
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L UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
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W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
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Blue corner
L2

Quang Le

"Bang"
9-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
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