Main
Middleweight
Michel Pereira vs Abus Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
·T-Mobile Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Michel Pereira
Abus Magomedov
52%
48%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
78"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
32-15
Career record
Δ 10 pp
29-7-1
L1
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pereira: 73 sig / 0 TD ·
Magomedov: 78 sig / 1 TD
Michel Pereira
Abus Magomedov
47
Sig strikes landed
34
91
Sig strikes attempted
84
57
Total strikes landed
45
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
61s
Control time
167s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
32-15
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
Blue corner
W2
Abus Magomedov
29-7-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—