Prelims2
Middleweight
Marc-Andre Barriault vs Bruno Silva
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
·Bell Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Marc-Andre Barriault
Bruno Silva
46%
54%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
35
Age
Δ 1y
36
17-12
Career record
Δ 4 pp
23-14
L3
Current streak
L4
14
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Barriault: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 6 sig / 0 TD
Marc-Andre Barriault
Bruno Silva
64
Sig strikes landed
55
125
Sig strikes attempted
114
85
Total strikes landed
67
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
102s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
17-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
14 fights · 5-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
L4
Bruno Silva
"Blindado"
23-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—