Back to UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Prelims2 Women's Bantamweight

Nora Cornolle vs Hailey Cowan

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes ·Kaseya Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Nora Cornolle
Hailey Cowan
57% 43%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
9-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
7-6
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Cornolle: 8 sig / 0 TD · Cowan: 3 sig / 1 TD
Nora Cornolle
Hailey Cowan
57
Sig strikes landed
40
117
Sig strikes attempted
82
87
Total strikes landed
58
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.20
Knockdowns
-0.10
151s
Control time
222s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Nora Cornolle

9-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
Blue corner
L1

Hailey Cowan

"All Hail"
7-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—