Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Loma Lookboonmee vs Istela Nunes
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Loma Lookboonmee
Istela Nunes
74%
26%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
29
Age
Δ 4y
33
11-5
Career record
Δ 23 pp
6-7
W3
Current streak
L4
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lookboonmee: 32 sig / 3 TD ·
Nunes: 36 sig / 0 TD
Loma Lookboonmee
Istela Nunes
66
Sig strikes landed
46
133
Sig strikes attempted
113
85
Total strikes landed
63
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.6
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
188s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Loma Lookboonmee
11-5
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
Blue corner
L4
Istela Nunes
6-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 0-4
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—