Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Vanessa Demopoulos vs Talita Alencar
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Vanessa Demopoulos
Talita Alencar
45%
55%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 1"
58"
36
Age
Δ 2y
34
11-9
Career record
Δ 18 pp
8-2-1
L1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Demopoulos: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Alencar: 45 sig / 4 TD
Vanessa Demopoulos
Talita Alencar
54
Sig strikes landed
43
130
Sig strikes attempted
111
75
Total strikes landed
71
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
153s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Vanessa Demopoulos
"Lil Monster"
11-9
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Talita Alencar
"Problem Child"
8-2-1
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
59"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—