Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Pat Sabatini
Joanderson Brito
59%
41%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
23-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
18-6-1
W1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sabatini: 24 sig / 4 TD ·
Brito: 3 sig / 0 TD
Pat Sabatini
Joanderson Brito
17
Sig strikes landed
16
32
Sig strikes attempted
30
46
Total strikes landed
35
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
215s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
51%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Pat Sabatini
23-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
Blue corner
L1
Joanderson Brito
"Tubarao"
18-6-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—