Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Torrez Finney
Robert Valentin
73%
27%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Finney: 4 sig / 8 TD ·
Valentin: 23 sig / 0 TD
Torrez Finney
Robert Valentin
33
Sig strikes landed
31
88
Sig strikes attempted
52
54
Total strikes landed
46
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
175s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Torrez Finney
"The Punisher"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
L1
Robert Valentin
"Robzilla"
12-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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