Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Diana Belbita vs Dione Barbosa
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Diana Belbita
Dione Barbosa
65%
35%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
29
Age
Δ 4y
33
15-11
Career record
Δ 7 pp
9-5
L2
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Belbita: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Barbosa: 27 sig / 1 TD
Diana Belbita
Dione Barbosa
52
Sig strikes landed
50
114
Sig strikes attempted
116
78
Total strikes landed
73
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.9
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
131s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Diana Belbita
"The Warrior Princess"
15-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 2-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Dione Barbosa
"The Witch"
9-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—