Main
Featherweight
Jean Silva vs Melsik Baghdasaryan
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jean Silva
Melsik Baghdasaryan
83%
17%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
18-3
Career record
Δ 11 pp
9-3
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Silva: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Baghdasaryan: 7 sig / 0 TD
Jean Silva
Melsik Baghdasaryan
47
Sig strikes landed
34
97
Sig strikes attempted
74
50
Total strikes landed
29
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
66s
Control time
-2s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Jean Silva
"Lord"
18-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
Blue corner
W1
Melsik Baghdasaryan
"The Gun"
9-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
L
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—