Back to UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Main Featherweight

Calvin Kattar vs Youssef Zalal

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Calvin Kattar
Youssef Zalal
44% 56%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
37
Age
Δ 8y
28
23-11
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-6-1
L3
Current streak
W3
13
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kattar: 38 sig / 0 TD · Zalal: 74 sig / 0 TD
Calvin Kattar
Youssef Zalal
46
Sig strikes landed
54
107
Sig strikes attempted
120
64
Total strikes landed
68
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.6
0.9
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
61s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Calvin Kattar

23-11
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
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L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
Blue corner
W3

Youssef Zalal

"The Moroccan Devil"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database 10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
D UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—