Back to UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Carlos Vera vs Josias Musasa

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Carlos Vera
Josias Musasa
42% 58%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
37
Age
Δ 11y
26
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Vera: 16 sig / 0 TD · Musasa: 13 sig / 0 TD
Carlos Vera
Josias Musasa
25
Sig strikes landed
37
48
Sig strikes attempted
73
36
Total strikes landed
50
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
107s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Carlos Vera

"Pequeno"
12-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
Blue corner

Josias Musasa

"The KO Wizard"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26