Prelims1
Heavyweight
Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Jamal Pogues
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
·anb Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Hamdy Abdelwahab
Jamal Pogues
50%
50%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
77"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
7-1
Career record
Δ 17 pp
12-5
—
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Abdelwahab: 44 sig / 1 TD ·
Pogues: 69 sig / 0 TD
Hamdy Abdelwahab
Jamal Pogues
35
Sig strikes landed
38
73
Sig strikes attempted
88
51
Total strikes landed
61
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
131s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Hamdy Abdelwahab
"The Hammer"
7-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-0
Blue corner
W1
Jamal Pogues
12-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
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