Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Muhammad Naimov
Kaan Ofli
63%
37%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
30
Age
Δ 1y
32
13-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-5-1
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Naimov: 32 sig / 2 TD ·
Ofli: 31 sig / 0 TD
Muhammad Naimov
Kaan Ofli
33
Sig strikes landed
18
57
Sig strikes attempted
47
52
Total strikes landed
31
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
139s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Muhammad Naimov
"Hillman"
13-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
W
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
Blue corner
L1
Kaan Ofli
"Genghis"
14-5-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—