Prelims1
Lightweight
Guram Kutateladze vs Kaue Fernandes
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Guram Kutateladze
Kaue Fernandes
45%
55%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
14-5
Career record
Δ 12 pp
12-2
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kutateladze: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Fernandes: 79 sig / 2 TD
Guram Kutateladze
Kaue Fernandes
40
Sig strikes landed
40
79
Sig strikes attempted
89
56
Total strikes landed
57
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Guram Kutateladze
"Georgian Viking"
14-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
Blue corner
W1
Kaue Fernandes
12-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—