Prelims1
Middleweight
Christian Leroy Duncan vs Andrey Pulyaev
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Christian Leroy Duncan
Andrey Pulyaev
72%
28%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Duncan: 73 sig / 0 TD ·
Pulyaev: 18 sig / 0 TD
Christian Leroy Duncan
Andrey Pulyaev
41
Sig strikes landed
34
77
Sig strikes attempted
68
59
Total strikes landed
43
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
14-3
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
Blue corner
Andrey Pulyaev
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28