Prelims1
Featherweight
Miles Johns vs Felipe Lima
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Miles Johns
Felipe Lima
42%
58%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
16-5
Career record
Δ 12 pp
15-2
W3
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Johns: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
Lima: 55 sig / 2 TD
Miles Johns
Felipe Lima
40
Sig strikes landed
37
83
Sig strikes attempted
80
46
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
107s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Miles Johns
"Chapo"
16-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W1
Felipe Lima
"Jungle Boy"
15-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—