Back to UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Prelims2 Heavyweight

Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Lukasz Brzeski

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura ·T-Mobile Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Lukasz Brzeski
77% 23%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 5"
78"
32
Age
Δ 0y
33
15-6-1
Career record
Δ 18 pp
9-8-1
W1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nzechukwu: 29 sig / 0 TD · Brzeski: 32 sig / 0 TD
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Lukasz Brzeski
60
Sig strikes landed
50
127
Sig strikes attempted
102
76
Total strikes landed
54
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.1
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
160s
Control time
41s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Kennedy Nzechukwu

"Chosen"
15-6-1
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
W UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
L UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
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L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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W UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1

Lukasz Brzeski

"The Bull"
9-8-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—