Main
Women's Strawweight
Yan Xiaonan vs Tabatha Ricci
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
·Galaxy Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Yan Xiaonan
Tabatha Ricci
60%
40%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
61"
35
Age
Δ 6y
30
19-6
Career record
Δ 0 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
W2
11
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Xiaonan: 78 sig / 0 TD ·
Ricci: 15 sig / 1 TD
Yan Xiaonan
Tabatha Ricci
82
Sig strikes landed
66
160
Sig strikes attempted
158
100
Total strikes landed
96
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.9
0.6
Takedowns attempted
6.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
71s
Control time
232s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Yan Xiaonan
19-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
L
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
Blue corner
W2
Tabatha Ricci
"Baby Shark"
13-4
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—