Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Petr Yan
Deiveson Figueiredo
59%
41%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
32
Age
Δ 5y
37
21-5
Career record
Δ 4 pp
26-7-1
W1
Current streak
W3
13
UFC fights in our DB
17
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Yan: 121 sig / 1 TD ·
Figueiredo: 53 sig / 2 TD
Petr Yan
Deiveson Figueiredo
54
Sig strikes landed
57
98
Sig strikes attempted
112
78
Total strikes landed
62
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.0
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
120s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
21-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
L
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
Blue corner
W3
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
26-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
17 fights · 13-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—