Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sean Gauci
Anthony Drilich
72%
28%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
65"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gauci: 76 sig / 4 TD ·
Drilich: 87 sig / 0 TD
Sean Gauci
Anthony Drilich
38
Sig strikes landed
34
77
Sig strikes attempted
72
56
Total strikes landed
46
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
188s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Sean Gauci
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
Blue corner
Anthony Drilich
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31