Main
Middleweight
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dusko Todorovic
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Dusko Todorovic
69%
31%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Abdul-Malik: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Todorovic: 3 sig / 0 TD
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Dusko Todorovic
37
Sig strikes landed
34
72
Sig strikes attempted
70
51
Total strikes landed
47
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
125s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Mansur Abdul-Malik
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
L1
Dusko Todorovic
"Thunder"
13-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
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