Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Frunza
Vadym Kutsyi
39%
61%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Frunza: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Kutsyi: 47 sig / 2 TD
Daniel Frunza
Vadym Kutsyi
34
Sig strikes landed
40
79
Sig strikes attempted
78
48
Total strikes landed
58
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
92s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Daniel Frunza
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
Vadym Kutsyi
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33