Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Bailey Schoenfelder
Danylo Voievodkin
46%
54%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
27
Age
Δ 3y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Schoenfelder: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Voievodkin: 12 sig / 0 TD
Bailey Schoenfelder
Danylo Voievodkin
32
Sig strikes landed
38
60
Sig strikes attempted
71
43
Total strikes landed
77
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
113s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Bailey Schoenfelder
"Berserk"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Danylo Voievodkin
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24