Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Roman Dolidze
Kevin Holland
41%
59%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 5"
81"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
16-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
30-15
W1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
22
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dolidze: 19 sig / 1 TD ·
Holland: 18 sig / 0 TD
Roman Dolidze
Kevin Holland
48
Sig strikes landed
58
92
Sig strikes attempted
106
60
Total strikes landed
68
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.4
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
216s
Control time
45s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Roman Dolidze
16-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
L
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
Blue corner
W1
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
30-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
22 fights · 13-8
Last 5
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—