Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mike Malott
Trevin Giles
67%
33%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
14-3-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
16-8
L1
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Malott: 59 sig / 0 TD ·
Giles: 34 sig / 0 TD
Mike Malott
Trevin Giles
32
Sig strikes landed
29
61
Sig strikes attempted
55
46
Total strikes landed
36
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
128s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mike Malott
"Proper"
14-3-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
Blue corner
L2
Trevin Giles
16-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—