Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dong Huaxiang
Shi Ming
57%
43%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 2"
60"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
15-4
Career record
Δ 3 pp
19-6
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Huaxiang: 57 sig / 4 TD ·
Ming: 74 sig / 0 TD
Dong Huaxiang
Shi Ming
40
Sig strikes landed
33
83
Sig strikes attempted
84
66
Total strikes landed
66
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.1
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
122s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dong Huaxiang
15-4
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 3.1 + 3.2
—
Blue corner
W1
Shi Ming
19-6
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 3.1 + 3.2
—