Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Andrey Pulyaev
Liam Anderson
70%
30%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pulyaev: 98 sig / 1 TD ·
Anderson: 45 sig / 1 TD
Andrey Pulyaev
Liam Anderson
39
Sig strikes landed
33
82
Sig strikes attempted
67
59
Total strikes landed
46
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
136s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Andrey Pulyaev
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
Blue corner
Liam Anderson
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30