Back to UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
Prelims1 Middleweight

Zach Reese vs Jose Daniel Medina

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Zach Reese
Jose Daniel Medina
67% 33%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
W1
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Reese: 75 sig / 5 TD · Daniel Medina: 32 sig / 1 TD
Zach Reese
Jose Daniel Medina
28
Sig strikes landed
24
54
Sig strikes attempted
41
36
Total strikes landed
38
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.7
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
93s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Zach Reese

"Savage"
11-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
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Blue corner

Jose Daniel Medina

"Chicho"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33