Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mikheil Sazhiniani
Bruno Lopes
60%
40%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Sazhiniani: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
Lopes: 28 sig / 0 TD
Mikheil Sazhiniani
Bruno Lopes
41
Sig strikes landed
29
68
Sig strikes attempted
65
54
Total strikes landed
45
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
121s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Mikheil Sazhiniani
"Spartan"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L1
Bruno Lopes
"The Brazilian Cowboy"
14-4
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 7.5
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