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Main Flyweight

Lone'er Kavanagh vs An Tuan Ho

DWCS 8.1 ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Lone'er Kavanagh
An Tuan Ho
67% 33%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
25
Age
Δ 1y
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kavanagh: 12 sig / 0 TD · Ho: 10 sig / 0 TD
Lone'er Kavanagh
An Tuan Ho
37
Sig strikes landed
34
76
Sig strikes attempted
73
54
Total strikes landed
46
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
180s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Lone'er Kavanagh

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner

An Tuan Ho

"Highlight"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
24