Main
Featherweight
Morgan Charriere vs Gabriel Miranda
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
·Accor Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Morgan Charriere
Gabriel Miranda
70%
30%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
29
Age
Δ 6y
34
21-13-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
18-8
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Charriere: 19 sig / 2 TD ·
Miranda: 11 sig / 1 TD
Morgan Charriere
Gabriel Miranda
31
Sig strikes landed
30
62
Sig strikes attempted
70
49
Total strikes landed
45
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
132s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Morgan Charriere
"The Last Pirate"
21-13-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
Blue corner
W1
Gabriel Miranda
"Fly"
18-8
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—