Main
Middleweight
Nassourdine Imavov vs Brendan Allen
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
·Accor Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Nassourdine Imavov
Brendan Allen
44%
56%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
18-4
Career record
Δ 2 pp
27-7
W2
Current streak
W7
9
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Imavov: 57 sig / 0 TD ·
Allen: 30 sig / 1 TD
Nassourdine Imavov
Brendan Allen
46
Sig strikes landed
54
102
Sig strikes attempted
124
67
Total strikes landed
67
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
79s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Nassourdine Imavov
"The Sniper"
18-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
9 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
Blue corner
W7
Brendan Allen
"All In"
27-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
14 fights · 12-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—