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Kurt Holobaugh vs Kaynan Kruschewsky

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Kurt Holobaugh
Kaynan Kruschewsky
56% 44%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
38
Age
Δ 5y
33
22-11
Career record
Δ 12 pp
15-4
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Holobaugh: 92 sig / 1 TD · Kruschewsky: 89 sig / 3 TD
Kurt Holobaugh
Kaynan Kruschewsky
37
Sig strikes landed
35
89
Sig strikes attempted
77
61
Total strikes landed
50
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
113s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Kurt Holobaugh

"The Hurt"
22-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 6 fights · 1-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
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W UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
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L UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
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L UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
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L UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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Blue corner
L1

Kaynan Kruschewsky

"Bahia"
15-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
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