Main
Women's Strawweight
Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amanda Lemos
Virna Jandiroba
31%
69%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
64"
37
Age
Δ 1y
36
16-6-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
24-4
W1
Current streak
W3
11
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Lemos: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Jandiroba: 2 sig / 1 TD
Amanda Lemos
Virna Jandiroba
25
Sig strikes landed
27
55
Sig strikes attempted
64
51
Total strikes landed
75
0.1
Takedowns landed
2.4
0.0
Takedowns attempted
6.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
22s
Control time
284s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Amanda Lemos
16-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
Blue corner
W3
Virna Jandiroba
"Carcara"
24-4
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—