Back to UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Josefine Knutsson vs Julia Polastri

UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Josefine Knutsson
Julia Polastri
49% 51%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 3"
63"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
W1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Knutsson: 124 sig / 0 TD · Polastri: 64 sig / 3 TD
Josefine Knutsson
Julia Polastri
40
Sig strikes landed
30
72
Sig strikes attempted
62
55
Total strikes landed
76
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
151s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
34%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Josefine Knutsson

"Thunder"
9-1
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
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Blue corner

Julia Polastri

"Psycho"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26