Back to UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Prelims2 Women's Strawweight

Shauna Bannon vs Alice Ardelean

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 ·Co-op Live
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Shauna Bannon
Alice Ardelean
54% 46%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 3"
62"
31
Age
Δ 1y
32
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Bannon: 77 sig / 0 TD · Ardelean: 57 sig / 2 TD
Shauna Bannon
Alice Ardelean
49
Sig strikes landed
51
124
Sig strikes attempted
105
64
Total strikes landed
81
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
131s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Shauna Bannon

"Mama B"
7-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
Blue corner

Alice Ardelean

0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32