Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Molly McCann vs Bruna Brasil
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
·Co-op Live
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Molly McCann
Bruna Brasil
58%
42%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
15-8
Career record
Δ 10 pp
11-8-1
W1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McCann: 32 sig / 2 TD ·
Brasil: 44 sig / 3 TD
Molly McCann
Bruna Brasil
58
Sig strikes landed
48
108
Sig strikes attempted
106
84
Total strikes landed
70
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
165s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Molly McCann
"Meatball"
15-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
L
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
Blue corner
L1
Bruna Brasil
11-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—