Main
Middleweight
Jared Cannonier vs Nassourdine Imavov
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
·KFC Yum! Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jared Cannonier
Nassourdine Imavov
30%
70%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
40
Age
Δ 12y
28
19-9
Career record
Δ 14 pp
18-4
W2
Current streak
W1
16
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 4
Cannonier: 64 sig / 1 TD ·
Imavov: 82 sig / 2 TD
Jared Cannonier
Nassourdine Imavov
68
Sig strikes landed
60
138
Sig strikes attempted
143
83
Total strikes landed
79
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
55s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
19-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
40
In our database
16 fights · 10-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Nassourdine Imavov
"The Sniper"
18-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—