Prelims1
Welterweight
Charles Radtke vs Carlos Prates
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
·KFC Yum! Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Charles Radtke
Carlos Prates
28%
72%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 6"
78"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
13-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
25-7
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Radtke: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Prates: 15 sig / 0 TD
Charles Radtke
Carlos Prates
27
Sig strikes landed
36
48
Sig strikes attempted
70
37
Total strikes landed
46
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.5
Takedowns attempted
0.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
30s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Charles Radtke
"Chuck Buffalo"
13-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
Blue corner
W1
Carlos Prates
"The Nightmare"
25-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—