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Main Women's Flyweight

Yan Qihui vs Lisa Kyriacou

Road to UFC 3.3 + 3.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Yan Qihui
Lisa Kyriacou
87% 13%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
28
Age
Δ 3y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Qihui: 66 sig / 6 TD · Kyriacou: 70 sig / 0 TD
Yan Qihui
Lisa Kyriacou
43
Sig strikes landed
31
87
Sig strikes attempted
82
80
Total strikes landed
54
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
223s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Yan Qihui

"Queen Kong"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Lisa Kyriacou

"The Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31