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Main Flyweight

Jiniushiyue vs DongHun Choi

Road to UFC 3.3 + 3.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jiniushiyue
DongHun Choi
74% 26%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
23
Age
Δ 2y
25
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Jiniushiyue: 48 sig / 0 TD · Choi: 58 sig / 1 TD
Jiniushiyue
DongHun Choi
34
Sig strikes landed
25
69
Sig strikes attempted
51
47
Total strikes landed
54
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
144s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
32%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jiniushiyue

"Little Vajra"
17-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L Road to UFC 2.7
—
W Road to UFC 2.5 + 2.6
—
W Road to UFC 2.1 + 2.2
—
Blue corner

DongHun Choi

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
25