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WonBin Ki vs Tatsuya Saika

Road to UFC 3.3 + 3.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
WonBin Ki
Tatsuya Saika
66% 34%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
33
Age
Δ 0y
34
L2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Ki: 58 sig / 1 TD · Saika: 39 sig / 0 TD
WonBin Ki
Tatsuya Saika
35
Sig strikes landed
38
72
Sig strikes attempted
72
51
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
130s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

WonBin Ki

"The Danger"
18-10
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L Road to UFC 2.3 + 2.4
—
L Road to UFC 1.5
—
W Road to UFC 1.1
—
Blue corner

Tatsuya Saika

"Yanbo"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34