Prelims2
Women's Bantamweight
Ailin Perez vs Joselyne Edwards
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Ailin Perez
Joselyne Edwards
51%
49%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
14-2
Career record
Δ 16 pp
18-7
W2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Perez: 42 sig / 6 TD ·
Edwards: 27 sig / 0 TD
Ailin Perez
Joselyne Edwards
44
Sig strikes landed
46
90
Sig strikes attempted
84
80
Total strikes landed
80
3.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
6.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
328s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ailin Perez
"Fiona"
14-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
Blue corner
L1
Joselyne Edwards
"La Pantera"
18-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—