Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Khaos Williams
Carlston Harris
69%
31%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
30
Age
Δ 7y
37
17-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
20-8
W1
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Williams: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Harris: 14 sig / 0 TD
Khaos Williams
Carlston Harris
41
Sig strikes landed
37
105
Sig strikes attempted
88
67
Total strikes landed
47
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.5
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
83s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
17-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
Blue corner
W2
Carlston Harris
"Mocambique"
20-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—