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Prelims1 Middleweight

Sedriques Dumas vs Denis Tiuliulin

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov ·Etihad Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Sedriques Dumas
Denis Tiuliulin
77% 23%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
29
Age
Δ 7y
36
10-6
Career record
Δ 15 pp
10-11
L1
Current streak
L3
4
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dumas: 49 sig / 3 TD · Tiuliulin: 26 sig / 3 TD
Sedriques Dumas
Denis Tiuliulin
35
Sig strikes landed
25
75
Sig strikes attempted
51
61
Total strikes landed
47
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.9
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
232s
Control time
66s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Sedriques Dumas

"The Reaper"
10-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
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W UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
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W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
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L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
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Blue corner
L3

Denis Tiuliulin

10-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
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L UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
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L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
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W UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
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