Main
Bantamweight
Cory Sandhagen vs Umar Nurmagomedov
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cory Sandhagen
Umar Nurmagomedov
32%
68%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
32
Age
Δ 4y
29
19-6
Career record
Δ 19 pp
21-1
W3
Current streak
W5
13
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Sandhagen: 71 sig / 0 TD ·
Nurmagomedov: 98 sig / 5 TD
Cory Sandhagen
Umar Nurmagomedov
46
Sig strikes landed
56
102
Sig strikes attempted
114
61
Total strikes landed
71
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
54s
Control time
281s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Cory Sandhagen
19-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 10-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
W5
Umar Nurmagomedov
21-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—