Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Cub Swanson
Andre Fili
59%
41%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
41
Age
Δ 7y
34
32-14
Career record
Δ 5 pp
25-14
W1
Current streak
L1
23
UFC fights in our DB
22
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Swanson: 62 sig / 0 TD ·
Fili: 67 sig / 2 TD
Cub Swanson
Andre Fili
91
Sig strikes landed
60
135
Sig strikes attempted
135
85
Total strikes landed
69
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
45s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Cub Swanson
32-14
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
23 fights · 14-9
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
W
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
Blue corner
L1
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
25-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
22 fights · 11-10
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—